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2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma

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  Tom Coburn official portrait 112th Congress.jpg No image.svg
Nominee Tom Coburn Jim Rogers
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 718,482 265,814
Percentage 70.6% 26.1%

2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma results map by county.svg
County results
Coburn:      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%

U.S. senator before election

Tom Coburn
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Tom Coburn
Republican

The 2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma was held on November 2, 2010. Incumbent first-term Republican U.S. Senator Tom Coburn won re-election to a second term.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Jim Rogers, retired college professor
  • Mark Myles, businessman

Results

Democratic primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Jim Rogers 157,955 65.4%
Democratic Mark Myles 83,715 34.6%
Total votes 241,670 100.0%

Republican primary

Candidates

  • Tom Coburn, incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Evelyn Rogers, librarian[2]
  • Lewis Kelly Spring, teacher[3]

Results

Republican primary results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tom Coburn (Incumbent) 223,997 90.4%
Republican Evelyn Rogers 15,093 6.1%
Republican Lewis Kelly Spring 8,812 3.5%
Total votes 247,902 100.00%

General election

Candidates

  • Tom Coburn (R), incumbent U.S. Senator
  • Ronald Dwyer (I), activist
  • Jim Rogers (D), teacher
  • Stephen Wallace (I), businessman[4]

Campaign

Coburn, a very popular incumbent, promised to self-term limit himself to two terms. Despite his popularity, he did release television advertisements. In 2009, Coburn's approval rating in a PPP poll was 59%, including a 39% approval rating among Democrats.[5] His Democratic opponent is a perennial candidate[6] who did little campaigning.[7]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[8] Solid R October 26, 2010
Rothenberg[9] Safe R October 22, 2010
RealClearPolitics[10] Safe R October 26, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[11] Safe R October 21, 2010
CQ Politics[12] Safe R October 26, 2010

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Coburn (R)
Jim
Rogers (D)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 65% 26% 3% 7%
Rasmussen Reports July 28, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 65% 31% 1% 4%
Rasmussen Reports August 26, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 67% 24% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 68% 26% 2% 4%
SoonerPoll October 3–7, 2010 755 ± ? 62% 22% 2% 14%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Coburn (R)
Dan
Boren (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 53% 36% 11%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Coburn (R)
Brad
Henry (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 52% 40% 8%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Coburn (R)
Mark
Myles (D)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports June 30, 2010 500 ± 4.5% 62% 27% 4% 6%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Cole (R)
Dan
Boren (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 42% 40% 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Tom
Cole (R)
Brad
Henry (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 44% 43% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. C.
Watts (R)
Dan
Boren (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 46% 41% 13%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
J. C.
Watts (R)
Brad
Henry (D)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling May 13–17, 2009 715 ± 3.7% 45% 44% 11%

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Tom Coburn (R) $1,935,820 $2,103,749 $671,135 $0
Jim Rogers (D) $0 $0 $0 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[13]

Results

United States Senate election in Oklahoma, 2010[14]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Tom Coburn (Incumbent) 718,482 70.64% +17.87%
Democratic Jim Rogers 265,814 26.13% -15.11%
Independent Stephen Wallace 25,048 2.46% N/A
Independent Ronald F. Dwyer 7,807 0.77% N/A
Majority 452,668 44.50%
Total votes 1,017,151 100.00%
Republican hold Swing

Discover more about General election related topics

Public Policy Polling

Public Policy Polling

Public Policy Polling (PPP) is an American polling firm affiliated with the Democratic Party. Founded in 2001 by businessman Dean Debnam, the firm is based in Raleigh, North Carolina. Debnam currently serves as president and CEO of PPP, while Tom Jensen serves as the firm's director.

Stuart Rothenberg

Stuart Rothenberg

Stuart Rothenberg is an American editor, publisher, and political analyst. He is best known for his biweekly political newsletter The Rothenberg Political Report, now known as Inside Elections. He was also a regular columnist at Roll Call and an occasional op-ed contributor to other publications, including The Wall Street Journal, The Washington Post, The New York Times, and The Orlando Sentinel.

RealClearPolitics

RealClearPolitics

RealClearPolitics (RCP) is an American political news website and polling data aggregator formed in 2000 by former options trader John McIntyre and former advertising agency account executive Tom Bevan. The site features selected political news stories and op-eds from various news publications in addition to commentary from its own contributors. The site is prominent during election seasons for its aggregation of polling data.

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Sabato's Crystal Ball is an online political newsletter and election handicapper. It predicts electoral outcomes for the United States House of Representatives, United States Senate, U.S. governors, and U.S. presidential races, with electoral and political analysis. A publication of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, the Crystal Ball was founded by political analyst Larry Sabato, the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia.

Congressional Quarterly

Congressional Quarterly

Congressional Quarterly, Inc., or CQ, is part of a privately owned publishing company called CQ Roll Call that produces a number of publications reporting primarily on the United States Congress. CQ was acquired by the Economist Group and combined with Roll Call to form CQ Roll Call in 2009; CQ ceased to exist as a separate entity, and in July 2018, a deal was announced for the company to be acquired by FiscalNote.

Republican Party (United States)

Republican Party (United States)

The Republican Party, also referred to as the GOP, is one of the two major contemporary political parties in the United States. The GOP was founded in 1854 by anti-slavery activists who opposed the Kansas–Nebraska Act, which allowed for the potential expansion of chattel slavery into the western territories. It has been the main political rival of the Democratic Party since the mid-1850s. Like them, the Republican Party is a big tent of competing and often opposing ideologies. Presently, the Republican Party contains prominent conservative, centrist, populist, and right-libertarian factions.

Tom Coburn

Tom Coburn

Thomas Allen Coburn was an American politician and physician who served as a United States senator for Oklahoma from 2005, until his resignation in 2015. A Republican, he previously served as a United States representative.

Democratic Party (United States)

Democratic Party (United States)

The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States. Founded in 1828, it was predominantly built by Martin Van Buren, who assembled politicians in every state behind war hero Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party. Its main political rival has been the Republican Party since the 1850s, with both parties being big tents of competing and often opposing viewpoints. Modern American liberalism — a variant of social liberalism — is the party's majority ideology. The party also has notable centrist, social democratic, and left-libertarian factions.

Swing (politics)

Swing (politics)

An electoral swing analysis shows the extent of change in voter support, typically from one election to another, expressed as a positive or negative percentage. A multi-party swing is an indicator of a change in the electorate's preference between candidates or parties, often between major parties in a two-party system. A swing can be calculated for the electorate as a whole, for a given electoral district or for a particular demographic.

Source: "2010 United States Senate election in Oklahoma", Wikipedia, Wikimedia Foundation, (2022, December 3rd), https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_United_States_Senate_election_in_Oklahoma.

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References
General
  1. ^ a b "Oklahoma Primary Results". Politico. July 27, 2010. Retrieved July 27, 2010.
  2. ^ "Candidate - Evelyn Rogers". Our Campaigns. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. ^ http://www.springforussenate.com/Spring.cfm
  4. ^ "Wallace". Wallace4senate.com. Archived from the original on September 3, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  5. ^ http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/surveys/2009_Archives/PPP_Release_OK_519.pdf
  6. ^ GOP may dominate elections statewide | Tulsa World
  7. ^ "Tom Coburn cruises to a second and final term in the U.S. Senate | News OK". Archived from the original on August 9, 2014. Retrieved November 6, 2010.
  8. ^ "Senate". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  9. ^ "Senate Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  10. ^ "Battle for the Senate". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  11. ^ "2010 Senate Ratings". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  12. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Senate". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 26, 2010.
  13. ^ "2010 House and Senate Campaign Finance for Oklahoma". fec.gov. Retrieved May 1, 2010.
  14. ^ "SUMMARY RESULTS: General Election - November 2, 2010". Archived from the original on July 15, 2012. Retrieved November 26, 2010.
Specific
External links

"Election Results" (PDF). Oklahoma State Election Board. Archived from the original (PDF) on November 16, 2010. Retrieved November 16, 2010.

Official campaign websites (Archived)

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