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2006 United States Senate election in Maine

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2006 United States Senate election in Maine

← 2000 November 7, 2006 2012 →
  Olympia Snowe official photo 2010 (cropped).jpg No image.svg No image.svg
Nominee Olympia Snowe Jean Hay Bright Bill Slavick
Party Republican Democratic Independent
Popular vote 402,598 111,984 29,220
Percentage 74.0% 20.6% 5.4%

2006 United States Senate election in Maine results map by county.svg
County results
Snowe:      60–70%      70–80%

U.S. senator before election

Olympia Snowe
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Olympia Snowe
Republican

The 2006 United States Senate election in Maine was held November 7, 2006. Incumbent Republican Olympia Snowe won re-election to a third term. As of 2022, this was the last time Republicans won the Class 1 U.S. Senate seat in Maine.

Candidates

Democratic

  • Jean Hay Bright, activist

Independent

  • Bill Slavick, activist

Republican

Campaign

Snowe, who had been elected to both of her previous terms by approximately 2 to 1 margins, had never lost an election. Her success is accredited to her centrist Republican ideology, which resulted in high approval ratings. Meanwhile, her Democratic opponent in the 2006 election, Jean Hay Bright, had never been elected to political office.

Democrats' best hope for taking the seat was that Snowe would retire rather than run in 2006, but there was never any indication that Snowe seriously considered not running for re-election.[1]

The filing deadline for major party candidates was March 15, 2006. The primary was held June 13, 2006. Olympia Snowe was unopposed for the Republican nomination; Jean Hay Bright narrowly won the Democratic nod with 50.7% of the vote against Eric Mehnert.

Hay Bright announced her candidacy in May 2005. Hay Bright was previously an unsuccessful candidate for the Democratic nomination to the House in 1994 and the Senate in 1996.

The race had been called by FOX News for the Republican incumbent Olympia Snowe 23 minutes after the polls had closed. Snowe won re-election by a greater margin than any U.S. Senator that cycle except Indiana's Richard Lugar, who faced only a Libertarian opponent.

Polling

Source Date Snowe (R) Bright (D) Slavick (I)
Rasmussen June 22, 2006 66% 26%
Rasmussen Archived October 21, 2006, at the Wayback Machine August 2, 2006 69% 22%
Rasmussen August 21, 2006 68% 20%
Rasmussen October 17, 2006 70% 24%
Critical Insights October 27, 2006 74% 14% 6%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[2] Solid R November 6, 2006
Sabato's Crystal Ball[3] Safe R November 6, 2006
Rothenberg Political Report[4] Safe R November 6, 2006
Real Clear Politics[5] Safe R November 6, 2006

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Rockefeller Republican

Rockefeller Republican

The Rockefeller Republicans were members of the Republican Party (GOP) in the 1930s–1970s who held moderate-to-liberal views on domestic issues, similar to those of Nelson Rockefeller, Governor of New York (1959–1973) and Vice President of the United States (1974–1977). Rockefeller Republicans were most common in the Northeast and industrial Midwestern states, with their larger moderate-to-liberal constituencies, while they were rare in the South and West.

Indiana

Indiana

Indiana is a U.S. state in the Midwestern United States. It is the 38th-largest by area and the 17th-most populous of the 50 States. Its capital and largest city is Indianapolis. Indiana was admitted to the United States as the 19th state on December 11, 1816. It is bordered by Lake Michigan to the northwest, Michigan to the north and northeast, Ohio to the east, the Ohio River and Kentucky to the south and southeast, and the Wabash River and Illinois to the west.

Richard Lugar

Richard Lugar

Richard Green Lugar KBE was an American politician who served as a United States Senator from Indiana from 1977 to 2013. He was a member of the Republican Party.

Libertarian Party (United States)

Libertarian Party (United States)

The Libertarian Party (LP) is a political party in the United States that promotes civil liberties, non-interventionism, laissez-faire capitalism, and limiting the size and scope of government. The party was conceived in August 1971 at meetings in the home of David F. Nolan in Westminster, Colorado, and was officially formed on December 11, 1971, in Colorado Springs, Colorado. The organizers of the party drew inspiration from the works and ideas of the prominent Austrian school economist, Murray Rothbard. The founding of the party was prompted in part due to concerns about the Nixon administration, the Vietnam War, conscription, and the introduction of fiat money.

Wayback Machine

Wayback Machine

The Wayback Machine is a digital archive of the World Wide Web founded by the Internet Archive, a nonprofit based in San Francisco, California. Created in 1996 and launched to the public in 2001, it allows the user to go "back in time" and see how websites looked in the past. Its founders, Brewster Kahle and Bruce Gilliat, developed the Wayback Machine to provide "universal access to all knowledge" by preserving archived copies of defunct web pages.

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Sabato's Crystal Ball

Sabato's Crystal Ball is an online political newsletter and election handicapper. It predicts electoral outcomes for the United States House of Representatives, United States Senate, U.S. governors, and U.S. presidential races, with electoral and political analysis. A publication of the University of Virginia Center for Politics, the Crystal Ball was founded by political analyst Larry Sabato, the Robert Kent Gooch Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia.

Stuart Rothenberg

Stuart Rothenberg

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Results

General election results[6]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Olympia Snowe (incumbent) 402,598 74.01 +5.5
Democratic Jean Hay Bright 111,984 20.59 -10.6
Independent Bill Slavick 29,220 5.37 n/a
Majority 290,614 53.42
Turnout 543,802
Republican hold Swing

Snowe won in all of Maine's counties, taking at least 60% of the vote in each region.

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Republican Party (United States)

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Olympia Snowe

Olympia Snowe

Olympia Jean Snowe is an American businesswoman and politician who was a United States Senator from Maine from 1995 to 2013. Snowe, a member of the Republican Party, became known for her ability to influence the outcome of close votes, including whether to end filibusters. In 2006, she was named one of America's Best Senators by Time magazine. Throughout her Senate career, she was considered one of the most moderate members of the chamber.

Democratic Party (United States)

Democratic Party (United States)

The Democratic Party is one of two major contemporary political parties in the United States. Founded in 1828, it was predominantly built by Martin Van Buren, who assembled politicians in every state behind war hero Andrew Jackson, making it the world's oldest active political party. Its main political rival has been the Republican Party since the 1850s, with both parties being big tents of competing and often opposing viewpoints. Modern American liberalism — a variant of social liberalism — is the party's majority ideology. The party also has notable centrist, social democratic, and left-libertarian factions.

Voter turnout

Voter turnout

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Swing (politics)

Swing (politics)

An electoral swing analysis shows the extent of change in voter support, typically from one election to another, expressed as a positive or negative percentage. A multi-party swing is an indicator of a change in the electorate's preference between candidates or parties, often between major parties in a two-party system. A swing can be calculated for the electorate as a whole, for a given electoral district or for a particular demographic.

Source: "2006 United States Senate election in Maine", Wikipedia, Wikimedia Foundation, (2023, January 17th), https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2006_United_States_Senate_election_in_Maine.

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References
  1. ^ [1]
  2. ^ "2006 Senate Race Ratings for November 6, 2006" (PDF). The Cook Political Report. Archived from the original (PDF) on June 5, 2008. Retrieved September 30, 2021.
  3. ^ "Election Eve 2006: THE FINAL PREDICTIONS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  4. ^ "2006 Senate Ratings". Senate Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  5. ^ "Election 2006". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved June 25, 2021.
  6. ^ Bureau of Corporations, Elections & Commissions, Elections Division
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